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Soybean surplus persists as biofuel demand soars

Soybean surplus persists as biofuel demand soars


By Jamie Martin

Even with the surge in demand from the biofuel industry, the U.S. is seeing a large soybean surplus due to record-breaking harvests.

Farmers, especially in South Dakota, hoped the biofuel sector, particularly renewable diesel, would create new market opportunities. However, despite a 400% increase in renewable diesel capacity since 2021, the U.S. soybean glut persists.

Mitchell, South Dakota, famous for its agricultural pride, is preparing for a new processing plant designed to crush 35 million bushels annually. Farmers eagerly await this development, hoping it will help tackle the soybean oversupply.

Renewable diesel, made from soybeans, canola oil, and other agricultural products, was seen as a savior for soybean markets, especially after global market changes and the U.S.-China trade war reduced soybean exports.

However, challenges remain. The record soybean crop has pushed down prices, and external factors like increased imports of used cooking oil for biofuel production have added pressure. The unexpected closure of an important processing facility in Iowa and low water levels on the Mississippi River, a key export route, have further complicated the outlook.

In addition, policy uncertainty looms ahead, particularly regarding biofuel regulations. Potential changes in California's biofuel laws could limit the use of seed oils, including soybean oil, adding to market challenges.

For farmers in places like Mitchell, the wait continues for new plants and rising demand to help ease the glut and improve soybean profits.

Photo Credit: istock-oticki


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